6/01/2005

Stratfor is a great resource and even their free stuff gives you plenty to think about. They have a completely different take on the results of the French rejecting the EU Constitution, and what they see ain't pretty. Eastern Europe, without the protection of France and Germany is now under the gun from an increasingly belligerent Russia. Read the whole thing....

Deepening acrimony between the United States and Russia has bubbled into public view, and the idea that a European state is about to emerge has been shattered in the wake of France's rejection of the proposed EU constitution. Caught in the middle are the states of Central Europe, which have historical reasons to view both trends with unease.
You have to open an account to read their stuff, but it's free and worth money for a hell of a lot of people. Free registration and newsletter is HERE.
The deepening suspicion in Moscow and the events in France are important and
interesting to everyone in the world. But for the countries of formerly
communist Central Europe, from the Baltics to the Black Sea, these events
are riveting and ominous. A stalled or fragmenting Europe, coupled with an
increasingly hostile Russia, is their worst nightmare. Europe has not yet
shattered and Moscow has not launched a new Cold War, but what has happened
during these three weeks in May cannot be lightly dismissed. Central
Europeans are people who do not take things like this lightly. History has
taught them that pessimism and realism are one.
Eastern Europe still fears Germany, feeling that they can change their mind on a dime without being immersed in a European Union. Russia is getting very dangerous to them.
The French vote compounds the crisis. Central European countries stood to gain two benefits from the European Union: membership in an extremely
prosperous and successful economic entity, and the creation of a
transnational European state that would permanently contain German
nationalism. The Central Europeans saw the EU as a permanent solution to the
German problem.
Good stuff. Hope you go there.

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