7/01/2008

OUR LIFE AS FICTION

Which anti depression meds work in today's News environment?

Even the blogs are negative about nearly everything unless you own stock in a cemetery or a suicide ward. It's this negativity as an environment that you need to look at. While all the data about everything is accurate it might serve us all to look at exactly what this data might mean and how it is gathered.

Global Warming zealots claiming to be backed up by data from a hundred years ago, fifty years ago, even a quarter century ago cannot possibly be accurate. What kind of world wide data was taken or available in 1908? 1938? During the Great Depresson or WWII?

But it's the economic data that I propose to question here, and for this little post let us focus on "inflation" data. Question I'd like to ask is how many of us can actually afford everything on the list of products analyzed (never mind use). I suggest that a huge proportion of us only buy food and energy with no money left over for anything else, yet food and energy are not a part of core CPI; inflation is calculated without those two pesky items included. So the two items most people in the country have to use and have no money left over after those purchases are made don't count. That makes inflation "benign." So all of us whistle past the grave yard not knowing what in the hell is going on. Next, let us look at the so called unemployment numbers. We have at last count 15 million illegals working in various capacities around the country, principally in agriculture and construction---and they are only counted in number of people working, never in number of them looking for work or laid off because they don't file for anything. So once again we see unemployment at 5% and ask ourselves if things are really this bad?

I'd say either things are much worse than the "data" tells us or much better, but you can bet that we cannot possibly see what is real.

Oh, and did I tell you that commodity prices are now coming down and this means everything is really really good? Note that in the below wheat vs corn chart that both grains used to sell under $3 and now they are at all time highs including the days of ancient Rome, a period we know about because wheat was sold for talants of silver and we all know what that was and is worth.

These are the good old days. And yes, corn was $2.90 per bushel back in '06 and it's $13.00 now; pigs and cows eat corn; people eat pigs and cows; both of us are fucked.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hmmmm.

1. It's bad because of a long history of bad decisions. Partly because liberal Democrats simply cannot seem to grasp that America is subject to the same basic universal laws as every other country.

2. One problem with AGW is the data. I forget who did it but one climate scientist went around and did a physical inspection of many weather tracking units in his area. He found out that many of these units were once situated properly but that growth and development had encroached on them.

Instead of being at the proper height, away from exhaust vents and in the open, and away from parking lots, many of these units were installed next to AC exhaust vents, in the middle of a paved parking lot, stuck on the side of a building.

Just complete nonsense.

3. The problem with that unemployment figure is that it doesn't include people who unemployed, want to be employed but who have given up.

The actual number is much much higher.

4. Milk is going to be a real bastard.

Anonymous said...

Hmmmm.

I found three links.

Weather Stations Giving Bad Global Warming Data -- MSM MIA

Early blog about climte measuring mistakes

WhatsUpWithThat

It's a nice read.