9/30/2008

Bailout is Bullshit

From fucking Harvard, believe it or not:

Talk of Armageddon, however, is ridiculous scare-mongering. If financial institutions cannot make productive loans, a profit opportunity exists for someone else. This might not happen instantly, but it will happen.

Further, the current credit freeze is likely due to Wall Street's hope of a bailout; bankers will not sell their lousy assets for 20 cents on the dollar if the government might pay 30, 50, or 80 cents.

The costs of the bailout, moreover, are almost certainly being understated. The administration's claim is that many mortgage assets are merely illiquid, not truly worthless, implying taxpayers will recoup much of their $700 billion.

If these assets are worth something, however, private parties should want to buy them, and they would do so if the owners would accept fair market value. Far more likely is that current owners have brushed under the rug how little their assets are worth.

The bailout has more problems. The final legislation will probably include numerous side conditions and special dealings that reward Washington lobbyists and their clients.
Full interview at link above. Roubini at RGE is also opposed to the scheme because it's a sham. Rogers too. Looks like everyone smart is opposed. But stupid me thinks there is too much risk in not voting for a bailout if insurance is added to it. Hell, I'm not going to agree with some Harvard prick at this late time in my life.

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