Election Factors: sometimes we forget the simple stuff. You know, like keep your eye on the ball, be in shape to play, and don't forget volume and trend in the markets. Nobody seems to be paying attention to the investor class and the Religious so-called Right, two huge voting blocks. I think it is safe to say that people who are religious will go for Bush (4,000,000 did not vote in 2000) but how will the investor class go? If they see Kerry as a threat to markets by raising the dividend tax, corporate taxes that will diminish dividends, or anti-business policies this class could go for Bush in self defense. Homosexual marriage, gun ownership rights, and all code words for same will rally the troops to the GOP. Abortion is suddenly a non-issue as women focus on things that actually impact their lives right now and in the future. Look for code words on these issues because Bush MUST hold the above classes in order to win. The GOP wins without black support, the NAACP has made it OK for the GOP to ignore them, and the GOP can safely ignore them. Both candidates are more than willing to risk our national security in order to pander to the Mexican vote so this is a wash. Keep your eyes on the simple stuff, it is where the election will be won or lost.
8/07/2004
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