6/08/2006

DEMOCRATS MOURN THE DEATH OF A TERRORIST! PRAY FOR ANOTHER KATRINA EVENT

Zarqawi and conventional wisdom----
Especially since Vietnam, we have come to believe that a guerilla war (AKA insurgency) needs the broad popular support of the indigenous population in order to succeed. Zarqawi's movement had no such support and relied almost exclusively on outside weaponry and soldiers. In fact there were almost no home grown soldaten other than a few Sunis. What we have been seeing is a virtual invasion by Islamic extremists and perhaps a few Iranians. What should be scary about all this is that an outside "secret" invasion with no discernible support can be as successful as this one, and I suggest that Iraq will be a matrix for other outside surreptitious invasions taking the form of Muslims within countries becoming their army, an army which will be financially supported by Muslim "charities". I think that all the jumping up and down for joy may be wishful, because way down deep the motivation within Islam is resentment of the West. The death of a general ain't going to change anything.

The really good side of this is that a hierarchical structure of a terrorist organization is unusual just because the elimination of leadership can be a death blow. Zarqawi wasn't just having a meeting with a few janitors, an entire top layer of the leadership has been killed. In all other places (except in Afghanistan), a broadly based autonomous cell structure has been the style, as used in Algeria during the fifties, making it next to impossible to stop. A top down structure means that, at least in the short term, this insurgency has been dealt a serious blow. Now if they reform into autonomous cells with only Islam as a motivation we could have an even more serious problem. Time will tell. Today is a victory for everyone other than hard line American Lefties inside the Democratic party. All they can do now is pray for another Katrina to prove Republican incompetence.

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